Slovenia Oil & Gas Report
Was: $1030.00
Now: $875.00
You save: $155.00 (15%)
Slovenia Oil & Gas Report

The Slovenia Oil & Gas Report

The Slovenia Oil & Gas Report has been researched at source in 2008, and features latest available data and forecasts for Slovenia to end- 2017 covering headline indicators for oil & gas, LNG, coal and power; company rankings and competitive landscapes covering oil & gas exploration and production in Slovenia , refining, oil & gas distribution and fuels retailing; and analysis of latest industry developments, trends and regulatory issues within Slovenia .

Business Monitor International's Slovenia Oil & Gas Report provides professionals, consultancies, government departments, regulatory bodies and researchers with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Slovenian oil and gas industry.

Key Benefits of Report

Coverage

Executive Summary

Summary of BMI’s key forecasts and industry analysis, covering oil and gas reserves, supply, demand, refining, coal and power, and primary energy, plus analysis of landmark company developments and key changes in the regulatory environment.

Regional Overview

Regional perspective on size and value of industry sector; comparative rankings by production, refining, imports and exports; overview of industry landscape and key players; assessment of business operating environment and latest regulatory developments.

Business Environment Rankings

A unique comparative study undertaken by BMI on the relative business climates across all regional markets covered. A rankings table highlights the merits of each market from an investor angle, giving scores for indicators such as Oil & Gas Supply and Demand Growth, Oil & Gas Reserves, Licensing Framework and the local Competitive Environment, as well as Economic and Political Risk.

Oil Market Outlook

BMI analyses and forecasts oil prices out to 2017 , monitoring supply and demand in terms of oil production and consumption across the region.

BMI 10-Year Industry Forecast

Historic data series and 10-year forecasts to end- 2017 for all key industry indicators (see list below), supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast, including:

BMI 10-Year Macroeconomic Forecast

BMI forecasts for all headline macroeconomic indicators, including real GDP growth, inflation, fiscal balance, trade balance, current account and external debt.

Competitive Landscape & Rankings

Comparative company analyses and rankings by US$ sales, % share of total sales, number of employees, year established, market cap/NAV, ownership structure, oil production (‘000 b/d) and % market share, downstream capacity (‘000 b/d) and % market share.

Company Profiles & SWOTS

Company profiles, including SWOT analyses, senior executives and full contact details, business activity, products and services, foreign direct investments and projects.

Slovenia Oil & Gas Report
Was: $1030.00
Now: $875.00
You save: $155.00 (15%)
Table of Contents

Chapter - Executive Summary

SWOT Analysis
Slovenia Political SWOT
Slovenia Economic SWOT
Slovenia Business Environment SWOT

Chapter - Slovenia Energy Market Overview

Global Oil Market Outlook
Storing Up Trouble
Revised Forecasts

Chapter - Global Oil Market Review

One-Way Traffic
Table: Global Oil Consumption (000b/d)
12-Month Demand Outlook
Table: Global Oil Production (000b/d)
12-Month Supply Outlook
Longer-Term Supply And Demand
Oil Price Assumptions
Table: Crude Price Assumptions 2008/2009
Table: Oil Price Forecasts

Chapter - Global Oil Products Price Outlook

Table: Oil Product Price Assumptions 2009 (US$/bbl)
Table: Oil Product Price Forecasts (US$/bbl)

Chapter - Global Oil Products Market Review

Regional Energy Market Overview
Oil Supply And Demand
Table: Central/Eastern Europe Oil Consumption (000b/d)
Table: Central/Eastern Europe Oil Production (000b/d)
Oil: Downstream
Table: Central/Eastern Europe Oil Refining Capacity (000b/d)
Gas Supply And Demand
Table: Central/Eastern Europe Gas Consumption (bcm)
Table: Central/Eastern Europe Gas Production (bcm)
Liquefied Natural Gas
Table: Central/Eastern Europe LNG Exports/(Imports) (bcm)

Chapter - Business Environment Ranking

Central/Eastern Europe Region
Composite Scores
Table: Regional Upstream Business Environment Rating
Table: Regional Downstream Business Environment Rating
Upstream Scores
Downstream Scores
Slovenia Upstream Rating – Overview
Slovenia Upstream Rating – Potential Returns
Slovenia Upstream Rating – Risks to Potential Returns
Slovenia Downstream Rating – Overview
Slovenia Downstream Rating – Potential Returns
Slovenia Downstream Rating – Risks to Potential Returns

Chapter - Business Environment

Legal Framework
Infrastructure
Labour Force
Foreign Investment Policy
Tax Regime

Chapter - Industry Forecast Scenario

Oil And Gas Reserves
Oil Supply And Demand
Gas Supply And Demand
Refining And Oil Products Trade
Revenues/Import Costs
Table: Slovenia Oil & Gas – Historical Data & Forecasts
Other Energy
Table: Slovenia Other Energy – Historical Data & Forecasts
Key Risks To BMI's Forecast Scenario
Long-Term Oil & Gas Outlook

Chapter - Macroeconomic Outlook

Table: Slovenia – Economic Activity

Chapter - Competitive Landscape

Executive Summary

Table: Key Players: Slovenia Oil & Gas Sector
Overview/State Role
Table: Key Downstream Players

Chapter - Company Monitor

Petrol
OMV – Summary
Others – Summary

Chapter - Glossary of Terms

Oil & Gas Ratings: Revised Methodology
Introduction
Ratings Overview
Table: BMI Oil & Gas Business Environment Ratings: Structure
Indicators
Table: BMI Oil & Gas Business Environment Upstream Ratings: Methodology
Table: BMI Oil & Gas Business Environment Downstream Ratings: Methodology

Chapter - Oil & Gas Outlook: Long-Term Forecasts

Global Oil Demand
Table: Global Oil Demand (000b/d)
Table: Global Oil Production (000b/d)
Global Oil Supply
Global Gas Demand
Table: Global Gas Demand (bcm)
Global Gas Supply
Table: Global Gas Production (bcm)
Regional Oil Demand
Table: CEE Oil Consumption (000b/d)
Regional Oil Supply
Table: CEE Oil Production (000b/d)
Regional Refining Capacity
Table: CEE Oil Refining Capacity (000b/d)
Regional Gas Demand
Table: CEE Gas Consumption (bcm)
Regional Gas Supply
Table: CEE Gas Production (bcm)
Slovenia Country Overview
Methodology & Risks To Forecasts

Chapter - BMI Forecast Modelling

How we generate our industry forecasts
Energy Industry
Cross checks
Sources
Slovenia Oil & Gas Report
Was: $1030.00
Now: $875.00
You save: $155.00 (15%)
Executive Summary

BMI’s latest Slovenia Oil & Gas Report forecasts that the country will account for 1.24% of Central and Eastern European (CEE) regional oil demand by 2013, while making no meaningful contribution to supply. CEE regional oil use of 4.65mn barrels per day (b/d) in 2001 rose to an estimated 5.36mn b/d in 2008. It should average 5.42mn b/d in 2008 and then rise to around 5.99mn b/d by 2013. Regional oil production was 8.83mn b/d in 2001, and in 2008 averaged an estimated 13.00mn b/d. It is set to rise to 14.44mn b/d by 2013. Oil exports are growing steadily, because demand growth is lagging the pace of supply expansion. In 2001, the region was exporting an average 4.18mn b/d. This total had risen to an estimated 7.64mn b/d in 2008 and is forecast to reach 8.45mn b/d by 2013.

In terms of natural gas, the region in 2008 consumed an estimated 637bn cubic metres (bcm), with demand of 749bcm targeted for 2013, representing 17.5% growth. Production of an estimated 783bcm in 2008 should reach 913bcm in 2013, which implies net exports rising from around 145bcm in 2008 to 164bcm by the end of the period. Slovenia has no significant share of regional gas consumption or production.

In terms of the OPEC basket of crudes, the average price in Q408 was an estimated US$52.53/bbl, down sharply from the US$113.49 recorded during the previous three months. The full-year 2008 average is put by BMI at US$94.08/bbl, representing a 36% year-on-year (y-o-y) increase. North Sea Brent, WTI and Russian Urals are believed to have averaged US$97.06, US$99.33 and US$94.56 per barrel (bbl) respectively during 2008. For 2009, we are now assuming an average OPEC basket price of US$52/bbl (- 45% y-o-y), with Q109 expected to deliver US$40.00. The new full year forecast implies Brent crude at US$55.65, WTI averaging US$56.63/bbl and Urals at US$52.48 for 2009. For 2010, we expect to see a recovery to US$58.00/bbl for the OPEC price, gaining further ground to US$65.00 in 2011 and US$70.00/bbl in 2012. We are now using a long-term price assumption of US$70.00 for 2013-2018, down from our previous assumption of US$90.00/bbl.

In 2009, we see monthly average global wholesale gasoline prices ranging from US$38.90 in January to a high of US$64.90 reached in August and in December, providing a full year average of US$56.20 – just over 55% of the 2008 outturn. The 2009 BMI gasoil forecast is for an average price of US$67/bbl, assuming a monthly low of US$46.40 in January and a high of US$77.30/bbl in December. The full-year outturn represents a 45% downturn from the 2008 level. For 2009, the monthly average jet fuel price is forecast to range from US$47.90 in January to US$79.80/bbl in August, proving an annual level of US$69.20/bbl.

Slovenian real GDP is forecast by BMI to fall by 1.0% in 2009, down from growth of an estimated 4.1% in 2008. We are assuming 1.0% growth in 2010, 2.8% in 2011, followed by 3.0% in 2012/13. Oil consumption growth is forecast at an annual rate of 3%, reaching 75,000b/d by 2013. Gas consumption reached an estimated 1.5bcm in 2008, with up to 0.5bcm being produced from domestic sources. Demand is expected to have reached 2.2bcm by 2013, with domestic production potentially down to 0.2bcm and imports totalling 2.0bcm.

Between 2007 and 2018, we are forecasting an increase in Slovenian oil consumption of 42.5%, with import volumes rising steadily from an estimated 63,000b/d to 87,000b/d by the end of the 10-year forecast period. Gas consumption is expected to climb from an estimated 1.5bcm to 2.8bcm by 2018, met largely by imports of 2.7bcm. Details of BMI’s 10-year forecasts can be found in the appendix to this report, which provides global, regional and country-specific projections.

Slovenia now occupies fifth place in BMI’s updated Upstream Business Environment rating, in spite of extremely limited hydrocarbons resources. The growth outlook for oil and gas is healthy, but volumes are rising from an exceptionally low base. Country risk factors work in Slovenia’s favour, but its position may prove precarious, although it currently claims a generous safety margin over Slovakia below it. The country is at the bottom of the league table in BMI’s updated Downstream Business Environment rating. There are no particularly high scores and progress further up the rankings seems unlikely over the medium term. There are poor scores for refining capacity, oil and gas demand, population and nominal GDP. Bulgaria is now only one point above it in the regional rankings, so there is some slight chance of Slovenia challenging for 12th place.

Slovenia Oil & Gas Report
Was: $1030.00
Now: $875.00
You save: $155.00 (15%)
Read about our other Oil & Gas Reports

Africa

Algeria, Angola, Congo, Egypt, Equatorial Guinea, Gabon, Libya, Nigeria, South Africa and Sudan

Asia

Australia, China, Hong Kong, India, Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia, Pakistan, Philippines, Singapore, South Korea, Taiwan, Thailand and Vietnam

Caribbean

Trinidad & Tobago

Europe

Azerbaijan, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Czech Republic, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Italy, Kazakhstan, Norway, Poland, Romania, Russia, Slovakia, Spain, Turkmenistan, Ukraine and United Kingdom

Latin America

Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Mexico, Peru and Venezuela

Middle East

Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Turkey and United Arab Emirates

North America

Canada and United States
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