Romania

In-depth country-focused analysis on Romania's economic, political and operational risk environment, complemented by detailed sector insight

Our comprehensive assessment of Romania's operating environment and the outlook for its leading sectors are formed by bringing together a wealth of data on global markets that affect Romania, as well as the latest industry developments that could impact Romania's industries. This unique integrated approach has given us an impeccable track-record for predicting important shifts in the markets, ensuring you’re aware of the latest market opportunities and risks in Romania before your competitors.

Romania Country Risk

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Core Views Romania's economic recovery will move onto a more sustainable footing and grow by 3.2% in 2014, as private consumption plays a bigger role driving growth. Recovering domestic demand...

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Romania Industry Coverage (22)

Agribusiness

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BMI View: We still believe the Romanian grain sector has the highest growth potential owing to its competitiveness and its exposure to the Middle East and Asia. Sugar production is likely to...

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Autos

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In 2014, we forecast an 8% increase in vehicle sales in 2014 on the back of a recovery in the passenger car and commercial vehicle segments. BMI forecasts an 8.6% increase in passenger car sales in...

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Commercial Banking

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Commercial Banking Sector Indicators Date Total assets Client loans Bond portfolio Other Liabilities and capital Capital Client deposits Other...

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Defence & Security

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BMI View:   Romania occupies a strategically important position in Europe. The country is flanked by the former Soviet republics of Ukraine and Moldova. It also borders Hungary to the west, the...

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Food & Drink

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Over the forecast period to 2018, Romania will experience moderate sales growth across most segments of the food and drink industry. Growth is expected to remain somewhat slower over the short term,...

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Freight Transport

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Following a year in which BMI believes saw increasing freight volumes in Romania, 2014 will signal further growth across the whole freight transport sector in line with the country's macroeconomic...

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Information Technology

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BMI View: the Romania IT market is forecast to expand over the medium term, and outperfrom many markets in the region. We forecast total IT market spending will increase to RON5.17bn in 2014,...

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Infrastructure

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BMI View:   We are maintaining our forecasts for a return to sustainable growth in the Romanian construction sector over 2014 and 2015   owing to a brighter economic outlook and the...

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Insurance

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BMI View : As of mid-2014, there are signs that profitability is improving for at least some of the leading players in Romania's insurance sector, where conditions have been challenging since...

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Medical Devices

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Espicom Industry View: The Romanian medical device market is projec ted to grow by a CAGR of 2.9 % over the 2013-2018 period, in line with economic growth and rising health expenditure. The...

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Metals

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BMI View:   Romania's metals sector will continue to see modest growth over the coming years as it slowly recovers from the global downtur n. This is primarily the case for steel, the largest...

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Mining

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BMI View: We expect Romania's mining sector to see only modest growth over the coming years as coal output, which accounts for the majority of the mining sector's value, sees little expansion....

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Oil & Gas

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BMI View:   ExxonMobil   is drilling the Domino-2 appraisal well which has the potential to transform the Romanian upstream if successful. Further exploration efforts in the Black Sea from...

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Petrochemicals

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BMI View : The failure to privatise the troubled local petrochemicals producer Oltchim in H114 is weighing heavily on the prospects for the Romanian petrochemicals industry, in spite of the...

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Pharmaceuticals & Healthcare

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BMI View: Our above-consensus outlook for economic growth in Romania has borne out, with positive implications for the pharmaceutical sector. With wages set to rise and consumer spending...

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Power

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BMI View: Nuclear power will be key to driving Romania's energy sector given the prospect of massive Chinese and Canadian investment in the second half of the decade. Renewables will also...

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Real Estate

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BMI View: Romania's commercial real estate sector is benefitting from the country's strong economic recovery with real GDP forecast to grow by 3.2 % in 2014 and 3.7 in 2015 , according to...

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Retail

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BMI View : The Romanian retail market is forecast to struggle through 2014 and BMI projects a 3.4% decline in total retail spending during 2014. BMI forecasts that this reduced growth will...

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Shipping

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BMI View: The port of Constantza is forecast to see growth both in terms of both total tonnage and container throughput in 2014 in line with Romania's continued economic recovery and eurozone's...

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Telecommunications

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BMI View: The Romanian telecoms market benefits from competition between major internationally backed operators. Competition covers the provision of basic services, where the arrival of mobile...

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Tourism

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BMI View: We expect to see steady growth across most key industry indicators for this fledgling tourism market in the coming years. BMI predicts a growth in inbound and outbound tourism as...

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Water

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BMI View: Although much work is still needed within the Romanian water sector, especially in terms of basic repairs, modernisation and expansion of infrastructure, the sector has received...

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