Senegal
In-depth country-focused analysis on Senegal's economic, political and operational risk environment, complemented by detailed sector insight

Our comprehensive assessment of Senegal's operating environment and the outlook for its leading sectors are formed by bringing together a wealth of data on global markets that affect Senegal, as well as the latest industry developments that could impact Senegal's industries. This unique integrated approach has given us an impeccable track-record for predicting important shifts in the markets, ensuring you’re aware of the latest market opportunities and risks in Senegal before your competitors.

Country Risk

Senegal Country Risk

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CORE VIEWS

  • Annual real GDP growth in Benin will average 5.0% between 2014 and 2023 as consumer spending increases and the country's political stability engenders elevated levels of fixed investment. Nevertheless, a sporadic electricity supply and reliance on cotton production will hold back the pace of economic development.

  • Benin's political landscape shows little sign of fragility, and will remain one of the most stable, open and accountable in West Africa in the years ahead, enjoined by a free press and a multitude of political parties. Nevertheless, the country faces challenges in the long term such as an overspill of violence from piracy and terrorist activity in the region, and the potential for tribal/ethnic schisms to open.

KEY RISKS TO OUTLK

  • There...

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Senegal Country Risk

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Core Views:

  • Real GDP growth will be 1.9% in 2015, a downwards revision from last quarter's forecast 3.7%, due to the Ebola outbreak's effect on the tourism sector.

  • President Yahya Jammeh is likely to remain in power, barring death or illness or removal by military coup.

  • Agriculture will remain the dominant sector in The Gambia, though investment into other industries such as tourism will help drive real GDP growth.

  • The country will remain reliant on foreign grants in order to meet its fiscal obligations, although these are under threat given political developments.

Key Risks To Outlook:

  • Despite not having taken hold in The Gambia, the outbreak of Ebola in the region is the most pressing risk to growth.

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Senegal Industry Coverage (1)

Telecommunications

Senegal Telecommunications

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BMI View: Our Q115 West and Central Africa report analyses latest industry, regulatory and macroeconomic developments in the telecoms markets of seven countries: Cameroon, Côte d'Ivoire, the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), Gabon, Mali, Mauritania and Senegal. As mobile subscriptions growth slows down in these markets, operators will increasingly shift their resources towards advanced data services to sustain revenue growth. Their efforts will be complemented by the proliferation of low-cost smartphones and tablets as well as cheaper and more reliable access to international bandwidth connectivity via submarine cables.

Key Data

  • The average mobile market growth for the seven countries in our coverage in Q314 was 4...

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